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icon for Prossimo Premier del Quebec
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Premier del Quebec

icon for Prossimo Premier del Quebec
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossimo Premier del Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 77%

Christine Fréchette 20.0%

Charles Milliard 3.8%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$324,772 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 77%

Christine Fréchette 20.0%

Charles Milliard 3.8%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$324,772 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$22,451 Vol.

77%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$79,659 Vol.

20%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$20,302 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,864 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier, reflecting the Parti Québécois’s steady edge in late-summer polling and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. Recent surveys from Nanos, Léger, and others show the PQ at roughly 28 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals, with models assigning the party strong odds of securing the most seats under first-past-the-post rules despite popular-vote margins remaining narrow. Christine Fréchette’s CAQ trails but retains advantages on economic management and U.S. tariff concerns, narrowing gaps in some head-to-head leader ratings. Other candidates, including Liberal leader Charles Milliard, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their lower polling and structural positioning. Ongoing leaders’ debates and referendum-related voter concerns continue to shape volatility within the campaign window.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,772
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier, reflecting the Parti Québécois’s steady edge in late-summer polling and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. Recent surveys from Nanos, Léger, and others show the PQ at roughly 28 percent support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals, with models assigning the party strong odds of securing the most seats under first-past-the-post rules despite popular-vote margins remaining narrow. Christine Fréchette’s CAQ trails but retains advantages on economic management and U.S. tariff concerns, narrowing gaps in some head-to-head leader ratings. Other candidates, including Liberal leader Charles Milliard, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their lower polling and structural positioning. Ongoing leaders’ debates and referendum-related voter concerns continue to shape volatility within the campaign window.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$324,772
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Il Parti Québécois vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni generali del Québec del 2026?

Il Parti Québécois vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni generali del Québec del 2026?

84%
Sì
icon for Il PQ vincerà meno di 50 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec in queste elezioni?

Il PQ vincerà meno di 50 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec in queste elezioni?

46%
Sì
icon for Il PLQ otterrà meno di 28 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Québec in queste elezioni?

Il PLQ otterrà meno di 28 seggi nell'Assemblea Nazionale del Québec in queste elezioni?

33%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Premier del Quebec" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" a 77%, seguito da "Christine Fréchette" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Premier del Quebec" ha generato $324.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Premier del Quebec", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Premier del Quebec" è "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Christine Fréchette" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Premier del Quebec" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.