Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jorge Nieto to finish fourth in Peru's April 12, 2026, presidential first-round election, reflecting stable trends in official ONPE counts exceeding 96% of ballots processed, where he trails frontrunners Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, and Roberto Sánchez but leads Ricardo Belmont and others by a widening margin. Delays in finalizing results stem from disputed ballots in rural districts and abroad, prompting a comprehensive ONPE audit confirming no cyber alterations or irregularities impacted tallies. With the National Jury of Elections (JNE) poised for mid-May proclamation ahead of the June 7 runoff, scenarios challenging Nieto's position include successful recounts overturning key actas or substantiated fraud claims reallocating thousands of votes, though historical patterns in late-counting favor continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJorge Nieto 99.0%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$469,125 Vol.
$469,125 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Jorge Nieto 99.0%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$469,125 Vol.
$469,125 Vol.
Jorge Nieto
99%
Ricardo Belmont
1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Jorge Nieto to finish fourth in Peru's April 12, 2026, presidential first-round election, reflecting stable trends in official ONPE counts exceeding 96% of ballots processed, where he trails frontrunners Keiko Fujimori, Rafael López Aliaga, and Roberto Sánchez but leads Ricardo Belmont and others by a widening margin. Delays in finalizing results stem from disputed ballots in rural districts and abroad, prompting a comprehensive ONPE audit confirming no cyber alterations or irregularities impacted tallies. With the National Jury of Elections (JNE) poised for mid-May proclamation ahead of the June 7 runoff, scenarios challenging Nieto's position include successful recounts overturning key actas or substantiated fraud claims reallocating thousands of votes, though historical patterns in late-counting favor continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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