United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate registration, and a mixed electoral system that allocates half the seats via single-member districts. Recent preparations have emphasized party list leadership by figures including Dmitry Medvedev, inclusion of war veterans, and tightened legislation that limits non-systemic opposition participation. Polling trends show United Russia ahead, though systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR remain in contention for threshold seats. Yabloko’s recent removal from the ballot further narrows competition. Realistic shifts in the outcome would require major unforeseen disruptions such as sudden economic contraction or significant battlefield reversals capable of altering managed turnout and administrative mobilization before voting concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Unita (ER) 98.4%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,192,525 Vol.
$3,192,525 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
98%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
1%
Yabloko
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 98.4%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Nuovi Persone (NL) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,192,525 Vol.
$3,192,525 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$805,879 Vol.
98%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$206,032 Vol.
1%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$138,483 Vol.
1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$163,381 Vol.
1%
Yabloko
$36,499 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$736,137 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate registration, and a mixed electoral system that allocates half the seats via single-member districts. Recent preparations have emphasized party list leadership by figures including Dmitry Medvedev, inclusion of war veterans, and tightened legislation that limits non-systemic opposition participation. Polling trends show United Russia ahead, though systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR remain in contention for threshold seats. Yabloko’s recent removal from the ballot further narrows competition. Realistic shifts in the outcome would require major unforeseen disruptions such as sudden economic contraction or significant battlefield reversals capable of altering managed turnout and administrative mobilization before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,192,525Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate registration, and a mixed electoral system that allocates half the seats via single-member districts. Recent preparations have emphasized party list leadership by figures including Dmitry Medvedev, inclusion of war veterans, and tightened legislation that limits non-systemic opposition participation. Polling trends show United Russia ahead, though systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR remain in contention for threshold seats. Yabloko’s recent removal from the ballot further narrows competition. Realistic shifts in the outcome would require major unforeseen disruptions such as sudden economic contraction or significant battlefield reversals capable of altering managed turnout and administrative mobilization before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,192,525Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate registration, and a mixed electoral system that allocates half the seats via single-member districts. Recent preparations have emphasized party list leadership by figures including Dmitry Medvedev, inclusion of war veterans, and tightened legislation that limits non-systemic opposition participation. Polling trends show United Russia ahead, though systemic parties like the CPRF and LDPR remain in contention for threshold seats. Yabloko’s recent removal from the ballot further narrows competition. Realistic shifts in the outcome would require major unforeseen disruptions such as sudden economic contraction or significant battlefield reversals capable of altering managed turnout and administrative mobilization before voting concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Il partito Russia Unita (ER) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle prossime elezioni parlamentari russe?
70%
Sì
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