Stalled Ukraine peace diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with recent escalations in drone strikes and battlefield advances, has shaped trader views that a bilateral Trump-Putin meeting is unlikely before December 31. A July 2026 phone call produced agreement for further contacts but yielded no firm in-person plans. China leads alternative venues on the strength of established bilateral ties and prior high-level coordination with Moscow. The scheduled December 2026 G20 in Miami registers minimal probability absent confirmed attendance or agenda alignment. Broader geopolitical constraints, including alliance dynamics and unresolved territorial issues, underpin the market's emphasis on delay over any specific location.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 60%
China 33%
United States 3.0%
Gulf country <1%
$495,897 Vol.
$495,897 Vol.

Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 60%
China 33%
United States 3.0%
Gulf country <1%
$495,897 Vol.
$495,897 Vol.

Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled Ukraine peace diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with recent escalations in drone strikes and battlefield advances, has shaped trader views that a bilateral Trump-Putin meeting is unlikely before December 31. A July 2026 phone call produced agreement for further contacts but yielded no firm in-person plans. China leads alternative venues on the strength of established bilateral ties and prior high-level coordination with Moscow. The scheduled December 2026 G20 in Miami registers minimal probability absent confirmed attendance or agenda alignment. Broader geopolitical constraints, including alliance dynamics and unresolved territorial issues, underpin the market's emphasis on delay over any specific location.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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