Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has emerged as the leading contender in polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election, reflecting trader consensus on his strong position to form a government. Eisenkot, a former IDF chief of staff, benefits from his security credentials and image as a political outsider focused on a state inquiry into the October 7, 2023, attacks, northern reconstruction, and military service issues. Recent opposition coordination among Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Lieberman, and Yair Golan has reinforced the anti-incumbent bloc’s viability, though bloc projections remain tight and vary widely by pollster. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trails or ties in many surveys amid coalition fatigue after completing a full term, while Bennett’s Together list has lost ground. These dynamics sustain Eisenkot’s edge in implied probability for the premiership.