Skip to main content
icon for Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?

Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?

icon for Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?

Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?

4% probabilità
Polymarket

$195,146 Vol.

4% probabilità
Polymarket

$195,146 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, sovereign, and geopolitical barriers to Venezuela's admission as the 51st U.S. state, despite President Trump's provocative May 13 Fox News remarks claiming he is "seriously considering" it due to the country's $40 trillion oil reserves and a subsequent White House map post depicting annexation. Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez swiftly rejected the idea, affirming national sovereignty and dismissing it as colonial fantasy, with no consent or formal process from Caracas. U.S. Constitution Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, typically from territories—not sovereign nations—amid international law prohibitions on forcible annexation. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented regime collapse, U.S. military intervention, and a pro-statehood referendum, scenarios traders deem highly improbable absent seismic crises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$195,146
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, sovereign, and geopolitical barriers to Venezuela's admission as the 51st U.S. state, despite President Trump's provocative May 13 Fox News remarks claiming he is "seriously considering" it due to the country's $40 trillion oil reserves and a subsequent White House map post depicting annexation. Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez swiftly rejected the idea, affirming national sovereignty and dismissing it as colonial fantasy, with no consent or formal process from Caracas. U.S. Constitution Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, typically from territories—not sovereign nations—amid international law prohibitions on forcible annexation. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented regime collapse, U.S. military intervention, and a pro-statehood referendum, scenarios traders deem highly improbable absent seismic crises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$195,146
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51º stato?" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 4¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 4% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?" ha generato $195.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?" è "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51º stato?" a solo 4%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.