Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, sovereign, and geopolitical barriers to Venezuela's admission as the 51st U.S. state, despite President Trump's provocative May 13 Fox News remarks claiming he is "seriously considering" it due to the country's $40 trillion oil reserves and a subsequent White House map post depicting annexation. Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez swiftly rejected the idea, affirming national sovereignty and dismissing it as colonial fantasy, with no consent or formal process from Caracas. U.S. Constitution Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, typically from territories—not sovereign nations—amid international law prohibitions on forcible annexation. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented regime collapse, U.S. military intervention, and a pro-statehood referendum, scenarios traders deem highly improbable absent seismic crises.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?
Il Venezuela diventerà il 51° stato?
Sì
$195,146 Vol.
$195,146 Vol.
Sì
$195,146 Vol.
$195,146 Vol.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, sovereign, and geopolitical barriers to Venezuela's admission as the 51st U.S. state, despite President Trump's provocative May 13 Fox News remarks claiming he is "seriously considering" it due to the country's $40 trillion oil reserves and a subsequent White House map post depicting annexation. Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez swiftly rejected the idea, affirming national sovereignty and dismissing it as colonial fantasy, with no consent or formal process from Caracas. U.S. Constitution Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, typically from territories—not sovereign nations—amid international law prohibitions on forcible annexation. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented regime collapse, U.S. military intervention, and a pro-statehood referendum, scenarios traders deem highly improbable absent seismic crises.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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