Recent U.S. Treasury licensing expansions and sanctions relief have unlocked greater export capacity for PDVSA, driving Venezuelan crude output from sub-1 million barrels per day (bpd) early in the year to approximately 1.1 million bpd by March 2026, with secondary sources reporting 1.03 million bpd in April. Renewed joint ventures involving Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, alongside potential re-entry by ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, are channeling foreign direct investment into Orinoco Belt rehabilitation and well workovers. Infrastructure constraints and heavy crude quality continue to limit rapid scaling, while global oversupply dynamics and upcoming OPEC+ compliance reports could influence trader assessments of whether production sustains or exceeds key 2026 thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$110,970 Vol.
28 feb 2027
1,1 milioni
98%
1,2 milioni
77%
1,3 milioni
38%
1,4 milioni
22%
1,5 milioni
8%
1,7 milioni
4%
2 milioni
4%
$110,970 Vol.
1,1 milioni
$14,523 Vol.
98%
1,2 milioni
$9,230 Vol.
77%
1,3 milioni
$6,900 Vol.
38%
1,4 milioni
$16,848 Vol.
22%
1,5 milioni
$7,998 Vol.
8%
1,7 milioni
$3,757 Vol.
4%
2 milioni
$12,636 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. Treasury licensing expansions and sanctions relief have unlocked greater export capacity for PDVSA, driving Venezuelan crude output from sub-1 million barrels per day (bpd) early in the year to approximately 1.1 million bpd by March 2026, with secondary sources reporting 1.03 million bpd in April. Renewed joint ventures involving Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, alongside potential re-entry by ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, are channeling foreign direct investment into Orinoco Belt rehabilitation and well workovers. Infrastructure constraints and heavy crude quality continue to limit rapid scaling, while global oversupply dynamics and upcoming OPEC+ compliance reports could influence trader assessments of whether production sustains or exceeds key 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$110,970Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. Treasury licensing expansions and sanctions relief have unlocked greater export capacity for PDVSA, driving Venezuelan crude output from sub-1 million barrels per day (bpd) early in the year to approximately 1.1 million bpd by March 2026, with secondary sources reporting 1.03 million bpd in April. Renewed joint ventures involving Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, alongside potential re-entry by ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, are channeling foreign direct investment into Orinoco Belt rehabilitation and well workovers. Infrastructure constraints and heavy crude quality continue to limit rapid scaling, while global oversupply dynamics and upcoming OPEC+ compliance reports could influence trader assessments of whether production sustains or exceeds key 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$110,970Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Recent U.S. Treasury licensing expansions and sanctions relief have unlocked greater export capacity for PDVSA, driving Venezuelan crude output from sub-1 million barrels per day (bpd) early in the year to approximately 1.1 million bpd by March 2026, with secondary sources reporting 1.03 million bpd in April. Renewed joint ventures involving Chevron, Vitol, and Trafigura, alongside potential re-entry by ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, are channeling foreign direct investment into Orinoco Belt rehabilitation and well workovers. Infrastructure constraints and heavy crude quality continue to limit rapid scaling, while global oversupply dynamics and upcoming OPEC+ compliance reports could influence trader assessments of whether production sustains or exceeds key 2026 thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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