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icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$4,654,335 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$4,654,335 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s diplomatic calendar in mid-May 2026 centered on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, which absorbed senior-level attention and left no window for a parallel leader meeting with Iranian officials. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi conducted talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on May 6-7 regarding regional security proposals, yet no escalation to Xi occurred despite ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and China’s four-point Gulf stability initiative. State media and official schedules gave no indication of an unannounced Iranian delegation reaching Beijing before the May 15 deadline. Only an unforeseen last-minute arrival could have altered the outcome, though such events are typically previewed publicly in advance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,654,335
Data di fine
15 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s diplomatic calendar in mid-May 2026 centered on hosting U.S. President Donald Trump for a two-day summit in Beijing on May 14-15, which absorbed senior-level attention and left no window for a parallel leader meeting with Iranian officials. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi conducted talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on May 6-7 regarding regional security proposals, yet no escalation to Xi occurred despite ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and China’s four-point Gulf stability initiative. State media and official schedules gave no indication of an unannounced Iranian delegation reaching Beijing before the May 15 deadline. Only an unforeseen last-minute arrival could have altered the outcome, though such events are typically previewed publicly in advance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,654,335
Data di fine
15 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" ha generato $4.7 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

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La probabilità attuale per "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.