The Liberal Party (PL) maintains a commanding lead in the market for the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies after the October 2026 elections, reflecting its status as the current largest single party with 99 seats and recent net gains of more than a dozen federal deputies during the party-switching window. Traders price the outcome at 75.5 percent amid Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, which has consolidated right-wing support and aligned legislative ambitions with the broader opposition movement. In contrast, FE Brasil sits at 6.4 percent while União Progressista holds 10.5 percent, consistent with their smaller current benches and more fragmented coalitions. Upcoming congressional dynamics, including alliances ahead of the general election, remain the primary variables that could still alter final seat totals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
レプブリカノス 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
PL
76%
UPB
11%
FE Brasil
6%
レプブリカノス
2%
MDB
2%
PSB
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
レプブリカノス 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
PL
$2,917 Vol.
76%
UPB
$563 Vol.
11%
FE Brasil
$444 Vol.
6%
レプブリカノス
$343 Vol.
2%
MDB
$239 Vol.
2%
PSB
$266 Vol.
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 Vol.
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 Vol.
<1%
PSD
$175 Vol.
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 Vol.
<1%
PDT
$166 Vol.
<1%
Avante
$200 Vol.
<1%
NOVO
$165 Vol.
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 Vol.
<1%
PODE
$170 Vol.
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).The Liberal Party (PL) maintains a commanding lead in the market for the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies after the October 2026 elections, reflecting its status as the current largest single party with 99 seats and recent net gains of more than a dozen federal deputies during the party-switching window. Traders price the outcome at 75.5 percent amid Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, which has consolidated right-wing support and aligned legislative ambitions with the broader opposition movement. In contrast, FE Brasil sits at 6.4 percent while União Progressista holds 10.5 percent, consistent with their smaller current benches and more fragmented coalitions. Upcoming congressional dynamics, including alliances ahead of the general election, remain the primary variables that could still alter final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
音量
$6,460終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).The Liberal Party (PL) maintains a commanding lead in the market for the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies after the October 2026 elections, reflecting its status as the current largest single party with 99 seats and recent net gains of more than a dozen federal deputies during the party-switching window. Traders price the outcome at 75.5 percent amid Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, which has consolidated right-wing support and aligned legislative ambitions with the broader opposition movement. In contrast, FE Brasil sits at 6.4 percent while União Progressista holds 10.5 percent, consistent with their smaller current benches and more fragmented coalitions. Upcoming congressional dynamics, including alliances ahead of the general election, remain the primary variables that could still alter final seat totals.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
音量
$6,460終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Liberal Party (PL) maintains a commanding lead in the market for the largest bloc in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies after the October 2026 elections, reflecting its status as the current largest single party with 99 seats and recent net gains of more than a dozen federal deputies during the party-switching window. Traders price the outcome at 75.5 percent amid Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the PL banner, which has consolidated right-wing support and aligned legislative ambitions with the broader opposition movement. In contrast, FE Brasil sits at 6.4 percent while União Progressista holds 10.5 percent, consistent with their smaller current benches and more fragmented coalitions. Upcoming congressional dynamics, including alliances ahead of the general election, remain the primary variables that could still alter final seat totals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問