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icon for CA -22主な受賞者
政治·予備選挙

CA -22主な受賞者

icon for CA -22主な受賞者
政治·予備選挙

CA -22主な受賞者

新規
2026/06/02
Polymarket

$1,847 Vol.

Polymarket

デイビッド・バラダオ

$417 Vol.

98%

ランディ・ビレガス

$473 Vol.

59%

ジャスミート・ベインズ

$78 Vol.

46%

クリス・マシス

$544 Vol.

5%

ルディ・サラス

$335 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,847
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,847
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CA -22主な受賞者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「デイビッド・バラダオ」で98%、次いで「ランディ・ビレガス」が59%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA -22主な受賞者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Dec 11, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA -22主な受賞者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA -22主な受賞者」の現在のフロントランナーは「デイビッド・バラダオ」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ランディ・ビレガス」で59%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA -22主な受賞者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。