Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,965 Vol.
$47,965 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$47,965 Vol.
$47,965 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,463 Vol.
96%
共和党
$35,502 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$47,965終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$47,965終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper's nomination victory in the June 30 primary against a progressive challenger has reinforced his position as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's solidly Democratic-leaning Senate race. The state's voting patterns in recent federal elections, combined with the incumbent's established name recognition and fundraising edge, have produced trader consensus around a high probability of a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Mark Baisley, advancing unopposed, faces structural headwinds including limited statewide support and the absence of major competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in comparable states suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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