Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,517 Vol.
97%
共和党
$3,737 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$9,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$9,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, clearing the path for a third term against Republican nominee Ryan Fazio. Lamont's commanding position in the general election stems from consistent polling leads of 13–35 points, approval ratings near 63 percent, and Connecticut's established Democratic lean in statewide contests. Traders' 96 percent implied probability for a Democratic win reflects these fundamentals plus the limited remaining campaign window before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp economic reversal, or unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the state suggest such reversals would require exceptional circumstances to overcome the current gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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