The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
≤2.4%
No
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
2.9%
Yes
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
≥3.3%
No
2.9% 100.0%
≤2.4% <1%
2.5% <1%
2.6% <1%
$13,765 Vol.
$13,765 Vol.
≤2.4%
No
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
2.8%
No
2.9%
Yes
3.0%
No
3.1%
No
3.2%
No
≥3.3%
No
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The May 2026 Core CPI year-over-year release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reported today at 8:30 a.m. ET, came in precisely at 2.9 percent and aligned with economist forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. This figure marked a 0.1 percentage point increase from April’s 2.8 percent print, reflecting contributions from shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care amid a 0.2 percent month-over-month core gain. With the official data now available and matching consensus expectations, trader positioning reflects near-certainty based on the verified release rather than forward-looking estimates. Any post-release revisions or alternative data interpretations remain the only realistic, albeit low-probability, factors that could influence residual market activity before full resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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