LaShonda “L.J.” Holloway holds the strongest position in the August 18 Florida 4th Congressional District Democratic primary, supported by high name recognition from prior nominations in 2022 and 2024 plus a recent Tyson Group poll showing her at 41 percent among likely voters. Michael Kirwan trails in that survey but leads significantly in fundraising, reporting over $700,000 raised in a recent quarter compared with Holloway’s limited receipts. Brit Robinson, a self-described Democratic Socialist, registers single-digit support in available polling and trails in cash on hand. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects these polling trends and Holloway’s established profile in the Jacksonville-area district, while noting that late shifts in turnout or endorsements could still alter the outcome before votes are cast.