National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 85-87°F in Denver on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and downslope flow from the east, conditions reinforced by the latest 12Z model runs showing minimal cloud cover and low thunderstorm risk despite climatological May averages near 72°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of monsoon moisture triggering afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds introducing cooler air, though current guidance indicates less than 20% probability; watch NWS updates through midday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
新規
$48,032 Vol.
新規
$48,032 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
新規
$48,032 Vol.
新規
$48,032 Vol.
2026/05/15
55°F or below
$16,960 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,873 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,307 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,536 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$5,858 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 85-87°F in Denver on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and downslope flow from the east, conditions reinforced by the latest 12Z model runs showing minimal cloud cover and low thunderstorm risk despite climatological May averages near 72°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of monsoon moisture triggering afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds introducing cooler air, though current guidance indicates less than 20% probability; watch NWS updates through midday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
音量
$48,032終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 85-87°F in Denver on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and downslope flow from the east, conditions reinforced by the latest 12Z model runs showing minimal cloud cover and low thunderstorm risk despite climatological May averages near 72°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of monsoon moisture triggering afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds introducing cooler air, though current guidance indicates less than 20% probability; watch NWS updates through midday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$48,032終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high temperature of 85-87°F in Denver on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 99.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and downslope flow from the east, conditions reinforced by the latest 12Z model runs showing minimal cloud cover and low thunderstorm risk despite climatological May averages near 72°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of monsoon moisture triggering afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds introducing cooler air, though current guidance indicates less than 20% probability; watch NWS updates through midday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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