Official observations from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 15°C this afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and morning showers, aligning with market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Cooler-than-average May conditions—typically 21°C highs—stem from a northerly airflow ushering in a cool air mass, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, as echoed in ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing peaks in the mid-teens. With sunset approaching and minimal clearing forecast, further warming is unlikely; however, an improbable late-day break in clouds could enable a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on official daily maximums.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,412 Vol.
$52,412 Vol.
2026/05/14
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$52,412 Vol.
$52,412 Vol.
2026/05/14
15°C
$6,557 Vol.
100%
16°C
$3,923 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,099 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$10,140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 15°C this afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and morning showers, aligning with market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Cooler-than-average May conditions—typically 21°C highs—stem from a northerly airflow ushering in a cool air mass, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, as echoed in ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing peaks in the mid-teens. With sunset approaching and minimal clearing forecast, further warming is unlikely; however, an improbable late-day break in clouds could enable a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on official daily maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
音量
$52,412終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 15°C this afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and morning showers, aligning with market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Cooler-than-average May conditions—typically 21°C highs—stem from a northerly airflow ushering in a cool air mass, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, as echoed in ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing peaks in the mid-teens. With sunset approaching and minimal clearing forecast, further warming is unlikely; however, an improbable late-day break in clouds could enable a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on official daily maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$52,412終了日
2026/05/14マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Official observations from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations confirm Istanbul's highest temperature reached 15°C this afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and morning showers, aligning with market-implied odds of 100% for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Cooler-than-average May conditions—typically 21°C highs—stem from a northerly airflow ushering in a cool air mass, suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, as echoed in ECMWF and GFS model consensus showing peaks in the mid-teens. With sunset approaching and minimal clearing forecast, further warming is unlikely; however, an improbable late-day break in clouds could enable a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on official daily maximums.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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