India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 Vol.
$56,545 Vol.
2026/05/13
37°C or below
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 Vol.
$56,545 Vol.
2026/05/13
37°C or below
$9,348 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$3,233 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,660 Vol.
No
40°C
$4,031 Vol.
No
41°C
$8,655 Vol.
No
42°C
$4,702 Vol.
No
43°C
$4,207 Vol.
No
44°C
$4,184 Vol.
No
45°C
$4,384 Vol.
No
46°C
$4,700 Vol.
No
47°C or higher
$5,443 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
音量
$56,545終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$56,545終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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