The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 15 at 27–29°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and daytime heating typical of the dry season. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, current observations already exceeding 25°C midday at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), and May climatology averaging 25°C highs with diurnal ranges rarely below 20°C. Trader sentiment reflects this overwhelming evidence, pricing 19°C or higher at 99.9%. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly gust front injecting cooler air—unlikely absent frontal activity—or station-specific microclimate anomalies, with final intraday METAR reports determining resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 15?
19°C or higher 99.9%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$18,805 Vol.
$18,805 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
19°C or higher 99.9%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$18,805 Vol.
$18,805 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 13, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 15 at 27–29°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and daytime heating typical of the dry season. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, current observations already exceeding 25°C midday at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), and May climatology averaging 25°C highs with diurnal ranges rarely below 20°C. Trader sentiment reflects this overwhelming evidence, pricing 19°C or higher at 99.9%. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly gust front injecting cooler air—unlikely absent frontal activity—or station-specific microclimate anomalies, with final intraday METAR reports determining resolution by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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