Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のパリの最高気温は?
16°C 97.6%
17°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,351 Vol.
$121,351 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.6%
17°C 1.4%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,351 Vol.
$121,351 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
98%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from European numerical weather prediction models, including those from Météo-France, indicate that Paris will reach a daily maximum of 16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus on the 16°C outcome, reflecting persistent cool, unstable air masses that have kept readings below the May climatological average high near 18°C. Historical records show mid-May maxima frequently cluster between 15°C and 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range. Any late-day clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus assigns low probability to crossing into the 17°C or 18°C thresholds before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問