Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a highest temperature near 23–25°C for Qingdao on June 17, with overcast skies and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Coastal location introduces key uncertainty through sea-breeze cooling and variable cloud cover that can suppress or permit brief warming episodes, while regional pressure gradients steer whether warmer continental air intrudes. Ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction keeps the precise maximum fluid within the 24–28°C range, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C outcomes despite climatological June averages near 24°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 17?
30°C or higher 39%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
39%
30°C or higher 39%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 11%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project a highest temperature near 23–25°C for Qingdao on June 17, with overcast skies and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime heating. Coastal location introduces key uncertainty through sea-breeze cooling and variable cloud cover that can suppress or permit brief warming episodes, while regional pressure gradients steer whether warmer continental air intrudes. Ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction keeps the precise maximum fluid within the 24–28°C range, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–30°C outcomes despite climatological June averages near 24°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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