Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,422 Vol.
$31,422 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$31,422 Vol.
$31,422 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 14, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those from AccuWeather and TimeandDate.com projecting peaks of 30.5–31°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the official resolution station. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud interference amid May's climatological norms of 29–30°C averages, with morning observations already climbing past 26°C under low humidity. Realistic challenges include abrupt thundery showers or enhanced sea breezes capping peaks below 31°C, though model ensembles show low probability before evening data finalizes resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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