Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official agencies, converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light west-northwest winds, and negligible precipitation. Stable high pressure and subsiding air favor strong daytime heating in the Mediterranean climate, while the sea breeze and moderate humidity provide slight moderation near the coast. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with current conditions showing no anomalous heat advection or cloud cover to alter this baseline. Minor model spread in peak timing and local urban effects supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, with limited probability assigned to 33°C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 64%
33°C 31%
31℃ 4%
34°C 2%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
4%
32°C
64%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
32°C 64%
33°C 31%
31℃ 4%
34°C 2%
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
4%
32°C
64%
33°C
31%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and official agencies, converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light west-northwest winds, and negligible precipitation. Stable high pressure and subsiding air favor strong daytime heating in the Mediterranean climate, while the sea breeze and moderate humidity provide slight moderation near the coast. Historical September averages hover near 30–31°C, with current conditions showing no anomalous heat advection or cloud cover to alter this baseline. Minor model spread in peak timing and local urban effects supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, with limited probability assigned to 33°C if afternoon insolation exceeds expectations. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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