Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Tel Aviv overnight on September 13, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. This aligns with seasonal baselines where average lows hover near 22–25°C, with minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 41.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 26°C, incorporates the latest model consensus and any minor revisions from updated runs, while lower odds for extremes account for potential forecast spread or localized variations near the coast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
25℃ 45%
21°C以下 30%
26°C 28%
28℃ 22%
21°C以下
30%
22°C
9%
23°C
10%
24°C
18%
25℃
45%
26°C
28%
27℃
19%
28℃
22%
29℃
5%
30℃
5%
31℃以上
6%
25℃ 45%
21°C以下 30%
26°C 28%
28℃ 22%
21°C以下
30%
22°C
9%
23°C
10%
24°C
18%
25℃
45%
26°C
28%
27℃
19%
28℃
22%
29℃
5%
30℃
5%
31℃以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–26°C in Tel Aviv overnight on September 13, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. This aligns with seasonal baselines where average lows hover near 22–25°C, with minimal cloud cover and moderate humidity limiting further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 41.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 26°C, incorporates the latest model consensus and any minor revisions from updated runs, while lower odds for extremes account for potential forecast spread or localized variations near the coast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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