Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 24°C low in Tel Aviv on September 14, followed closely by 20–21°C, reflecting tight consensus around official forecast guidance. Current conditions feature clear skies, light winds, and high pressure dominating the eastern Mediterranean, which limits overnight radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to September climatology of 21–23°C. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and a moderating onshore flow further support lows in the low-to-mid 20s. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew point forecasts, creating the narrow gap between the leading outcomes while ruling out cooler readings absent a stronger northerly surge or increased cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
20℃ 90%
22℃ 4%
19℃以下 1.6%
25°C <1%
19℃以下
2%
20℃
90%
21℃
-
22℃
4%
23℃
-
24°C
53%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
20℃ 90%
22℃ 4%
19℃以下 1.6%
25°C <1%
19℃以下
2%
20℃
90%
21℃
-
22℃
4%
23℃
-
24°C
53%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 24°C low in Tel Aviv on September 14, followed closely by 20–21°C, reflecting tight consensus around official forecast guidance. Current conditions feature clear skies, light winds, and high pressure dominating the eastern Mediterranean, which limits overnight radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to September climatology of 21–23°C. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and a moderating onshore flow further support lows in the low-to-mid 20s. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew point forecasts, creating the narrow gap between the leading outcomes while ruling out cooler readings absent a stronger northerly surge or increased cloud cover.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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