As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日20〜23 42.0%
24～27 39%
28～31 10%
32〜35 6.6%
$39,247 Vol.
$39,247 Vol.
2026/08/31
20未満
6%
20〜23
42%
24～27
39%
28～31
10%
32〜35
7%
36～39
3%
40人以上
1%
20〜23 42.0%
24～27 39%
28～31 10%
32〜35 6.6%
$39,247 Vol.
$39,247 Vol.
2026/08/31
20未満
$17,554 Vol.
6%
20〜23
$7,593 Vol.
42%
24～27
$5,747 Vol.
39%
28～31
$1,637 Vol.
10%
32〜35
$4,236 Vol.
7%
36～39
$1,100 Vol.
3%
40人以上
$1,380 Vol.
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$39,247終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$39,247終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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