Recent mixed economic data and persistent hawkish rhetoric from regional Fed presidents are sustaining uncertainty around committee divisions heading into the September FOMC meeting. July's 9-3 hold with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike—Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan—marked the most unified hawkish dissent in a decade and highlighted splits over elevated inflation tied to energy shocks. Subsequent soft July payrolls and moderating CPI readings have tempered hike expectations while Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks emphasized data dependence without forward guidance. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with incoming inflation prints and labor figures likely to determine whether three or more members break ranks again.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか?
3 29%
4人以上 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4人以上
20%
3 29%
4人以上 20%
2 18%
1 16%
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4人以上
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent mixed economic data and persistent hawkish rhetoric from regional Fed presidents are sustaining uncertainty around committee divisions heading into the September FOMC meeting. July's 9-3 hold with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike—Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan—marked the most unified hawkish dissent in a decade and highlighted splits over elevated inflation tied to energy shocks. Subsequent soft July payrolls and moderating CPI readings have tempered hike expectations while Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks emphasized data dependence without forward guidance. Trader-implied odds reflect this balance, with incoming inflation prints and labor figures likely to determine whether three or more members break ranks again.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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