Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on May 10 that progress in negotiations with Lebanon justifies extending the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, originally implemented April 16 for 10 days and prolonged by three weeks on April 24 following U.S.-mediated talks hosted by President Trump, now nearing expiration around May 15. Despite this diplomatic signal, Israeli airstrikes continued in southern Lebanon, including Nabatiyeh on May 7 and Beirut on May 7, testing truce terms amid Hezbollah defiance. U.S. efforts on parallel Iran ceasefire proposals via Pakistani mediators, rejected by Trump on May 11, underscore broader de-escalation pressures. Traders monitor for an official extension announcement amid fragile hostilities and potential U.S. diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
$42,812 Vol.
2026/05/17
May 13
1%
May 14
10%
May 15
37%
May 16
51%
May 17
64%
$42,812 Vol.
May 13
$10,903 Vol.
1%
May 14
$15,499 Vol.
10%
May 15
$7,140 Vol.
37%
May 16
$4,323 Vol.
51%
May 17
$4,956 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel officially announces another extension of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced commitment to halt direct military engagement with Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on May 10 that progress in negotiations with Lebanon justifies extending the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, originally implemented April 16 for 10 days and prolonged by three weeks on April 24 following U.S.-mediated talks hosted by President Trump, now nearing expiration around May 15. Despite this diplomatic signal, Israeli airstrikes continued in southern Lebanon, including Nabatiyeh on May 7 and Beirut on May 7, testing truce terms amid Hezbollah defiance. U.S. efforts on parallel Iran ceasefire proposals via Pakistani mediators, rejected by Trump on May 11, underscore broader de-escalation pressures. Traders monitor for an official extension announcement amid fragile hostilities and potential U.S. diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel officially announces another extension of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced commitment to halt direct military engagement with Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET
音量
$42,812終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel officially announces another extension of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced commitment to halt direct military engagement with Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on May 10 that progress in negotiations with Lebanon justifies extending the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, originally implemented April 16 for 10 days and prolonged by three weeks on April 24 following U.S.-mediated talks hosted by President Trump, now nearing expiration around May 15. Despite this diplomatic signal, Israeli airstrikes continued in southern Lebanon, including Nabatiyeh on May 7 and Beirut on May 7, testing truce terms amid Hezbollah defiance. U.S. efforts on parallel Iran ceasefire proposals via Pakistani mediators, rejected by Trump on May 11, underscore broader de-escalation pressures. Traders monitor for an official extension announcement amid fragile hostilities and potential U.S. diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel officially announces another extension of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced commitment to halt direct military engagement with Hezbollah, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
Both announcements of extensions of the April 16 ceasefire, as extended on April 23, 2026, and of new agreements will qualify.
If a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.
A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the Israeli government that Israel has extended its commitment to the ceasefire beyond its current scheduled end.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation, or unilateral pause in hostilities without a confirmed Israeli announcement of a qualifying extension will not qualify. Similarly, newly agreed-upon humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not qualify.
A newly agreed-upon broader peace deal will qualify if it includes Israel's agreement to a ceasefire extension. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures, but do not explicitly extend the ceasefire, will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli government and will not require confirmation from Hezbollah. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting that a ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
音量
$42,812終了日
2026/05/17マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on May 10 that progress in negotiations with Lebanon justifies extending the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, originally implemented April 16 for 10 days and prolonged by three weeks on April 24 following U.S.-mediated talks hosted by President Trump, now nearing expiration around May 15. Despite this diplomatic signal, Israeli airstrikes continued in southern Lebanon, including Nabatiyeh on May 7 and Beirut on May 7, testing truce terms amid Hezbollah defiance. U.S. efforts on parallel Iran ceasefire proposals via Pakistani mediators, rejected by Trump on May 11, underscore broader de-escalation pressures. Traders monitor for an official extension announcement amid fragile hostilities and potential U.S. diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問