Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani’s May 13 call for a comprehensive security framework reviving the 1974 disengagement agreement, including Israeli withdrawal from territory seized after December 2024, has renewed focus on U.S.-mediated talks between Damascus and Jerusalem. Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa has described the negotiations as active yet slowed by Israeli insistence on maintaining positions in southern Syria, while recent settlement expansions near the Golan Heights have added friction. A January trilateral meeting in Paris established a joint U.S.-supervised communication mechanism for intelligence coordination and military de-escalation, though core sticking points over sovereignty guarantees and buffer-zone enforcement remain unresolved. These diplomatic signals and persistent territorial disputes shape trader assessments of whether a formal accord can be reached by any specified date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,107,310 Vol.
6月30日
8%
$4,107,310 Vol.
6月30日
8%
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani’s May 13 call for a comprehensive security framework reviving the 1974 disengagement agreement, including Israeli withdrawal from territory seized after December 2024, has renewed focus on U.S.-mediated talks between Damascus and Jerusalem. Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa has described the negotiations as active yet slowed by Israeli insistence on maintaining positions in southern Syria, while recent settlement expansions near the Golan Heights have added friction. A January trilateral meeting in Paris established a joint U.S.-supervised communication mechanism for intelligence coordination and military de-escalation, though core sticking points over sovereignty guarantees and buffer-zone enforcement remain unresolved. These diplomatic signals and persistent territorial disputes shape trader assessments of whether a formal accord can be reached by any specified date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問