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icon for ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?

ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?

icon for ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?

ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?

<5 85%

5-9 8%

15-19 6.1%

35-39 5.1%

Polymarket
新規

<5 85%

5-9 8%

15-19 6.1%

35-39 5.1%

Polymarket
新規

<5

$403 Vol.

85%

5-9

$88 Vol.

8%

10-14

$80 Vol.

3%

15-19

$88 Vol.

6%

20-24

$88 Vol.

2%

25-29

$88 Vol.

1%

30-34

$88 Vol.

1%

35-39

$187 Vol.

5%

40-44

$88 Vol.

1%

45-49

$88 Vol.

1%

50-54

$80 Vol.

1%

55-59

$80 Vol.

1%

60以上

$80 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader after the latter’s death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile with statements issued primarily through official X accounts in multiple languages. These accounts post sporadically, often tied to major events, religious occasions, or diplomatic messages rather than routine daily activity, consistent with the successor’s limited in-person appearances and reported injury. Historical patterns from the accounts show infrequent output even during periods of regional tension, with recent examples including occasional written messages on Telegram or X that do not approach double-digit weekly volumes. Trader consensus on fewer than five posts during September 4–11 reflects this established cadence amid ongoing war-related uncertainties and institutional focus on internal stability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,525
終了日
2026/09/11
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeded his father as Iran’s Supreme Leader after the latter’s death in early 2026, maintains a low public profile with statements issued primarily through official X accounts in multiple languages. These accounts post sporadically, often tied to major events, religious occasions, or diplomatic messages rather than routine daily activity, consistent with the successor’s limited in-person appearances and reported injury. Historical patterns from the accounts show infrequent output even during periods of regional tension, with recent examples including occasional written messages on Telegram or X that do not approach double-digit weekly volumes. Trader consensus on fewer than five posts during September 4–11 reflects this established cadence amid ongoing war-related uncertainties and institutional focus on internal stability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,525
終了日
2026/09/11
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「<5」で85%、次いで「5-9」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 1, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「<5」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5-9」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ハメネイ# posts 2026年9月4日〜9月11日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。