Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, seeks to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts, yet the measure has advanced no further amid ongoing committee review and competing priorities. Federal courts, including a Third Circuit ruling in April, have affirmed CFTC preemption over state gambling laws for these contracts, while the Senate adopted only internal rules barring its own members from trading on prediction markets. Recent state-level efforts, including Minnesota’s May passage of a public-safety bill targeting platforms, remain narrow and subject to gubernatorial and legal challenges. These developments have sustained trader expectations that no comprehensive federal ban will reach enactment before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, seeks to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts, yet the measure has advanced no further amid ongoing committee review and competing priorities. Federal courts, including a Third Circuit ruling in April, have affirmed CFTC preemption over state gambling laws for these contracts, while the Senate adopted only internal rules barring its own members from trading on prediction markets. Recent state-level efforts, including Minnesota’s May passage of a public-safety bill targeting platforms, remain narrow and subject to gubernatorial and legal challenges. These developments have sustained trader expectations that no comprehensive federal ban will reach enactment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$13,870終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, seeks to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts, yet the measure has advanced no further amid ongoing committee review and competing priorities. Federal courts, including a Third Circuit ruling in April, have affirmed CFTC preemption over state gambling laws for these contracts, while the Senate adopted only internal rules barring its own members from trading on prediction markets. Recent state-level efforts, including Minnesota’s May passage of a public-safety bill targeting platforms, remain narrow and subject to gubernatorial and legal challenges. These developments have sustained trader expectations that no comprehensive federal ban will reach enactment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$13,870終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, seeks to prohibit CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports-related event contracts, yet the measure has advanced no further amid ongoing committee review and competing priorities. Federal courts, including a Third Circuit ruling in April, have affirmed CFTC preemption over state gambling laws for these contracts, while the Senate adopted only internal rules barring its own members from trading on prediction markets. Recent state-level efforts, including Minnesota’s May passage of a public-safety bill targeting platforms, remain narrow and subject to gubernatorial and legal challenges. These developments have sustained trader expectations that no comprehensive federal ban will reach enactment before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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