**Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Busan on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 23–26 °C range, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent rain associated with a lingering frontal system.** High humidity (often above 80–85 %) and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies are limiting overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima are expected to reach only 29–31 °C. This produces a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with typical late-August conditions. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate precipitation continuing into the evening of the 28th, which further stabilizes nighttime temperatures near 25–26 °C in many runs, though slight variations in rain timing or wind direction can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26 °C (each near 44–45 %) reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of short-range model spread and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日の釜山の最低気温は?
25°C 44%
24°C 44%
26°C 44%
28°C 44%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
43%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
43%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
43%
25°C 44%
24°C 44%
26°C 44%
28°C 44%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
43%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
43%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Busan on August 28, 2026, most likely in the 23–26 °C range, driven by widespread cloud cover and intermittent rain associated with a lingering frontal system.** High humidity (often above 80–85 %) and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies are limiting overnight temperature drops, while daytime maxima are expected to reach only 29–31 °C. This produces a relatively narrow diurnal range compared with typical late-August conditions. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate precipitation continuing into the evening of the 28th, which further stabilizes nighttime temperatures near 25–26 °C in many runs, though slight variations in rain timing or wind direction can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 24–26 °C (each near 44–45 %) reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant outcome, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of short-range model spread and the resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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