Recent forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 11–12°C in Helsinki on August 25, driven by moderating northerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus splits between the 7°C-or-below outcome (44.0%) and 12°C (43.5%) because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or advection from the Baltic Sea can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 10–13°C, providing context for the current tight probabilities around these thresholds. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
14°C 51%
7°C以下 44%
12°C 44%
13°C 41%
7°C以下
44%
8°C
14%
9℃
22%
10℃
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
41%
14°C
51%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17℃以上
38%
14°C 51%
7°C以下 44%
12°C 44%
13°C 41%
7°C以下
44%
8°C
14%
9℃
22%
10℃
25%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
41%
14°C
51%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17℃以上
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 11–12°C in Helsinki on August 25, driven by moderating northerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus splits between the 7°C-or-below outcome (44.0%) and 12°C (43.5%) because small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, or advection from the Baltic Sea can shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical late-August climatology shows typical lows of 10–13°C, providing context for the current tight probabilities around these thresholds. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event window approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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