**Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover are the main drivers behind trader consensus favoring a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16.** Official forecasts from agencies and models show overnight lows around 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Above-normal recent minima (26–26.5°C) and elevated dew points near 76°F further support this range by suppressing temperature drops. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in cloud thickness, storm timing, or wind patterns could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and revised model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のラクナウの最低気温は？
9月16日のラクナウの最低気温は？
20℃以下 100%
24℃ 91%
23℃ 88%
21℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
20℃以下
100%
21℃
7%
22℃
7%
23℃
88%
24℃
91%
25℃
45%
26℃
56%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
20℃以下 100%
24℃ 91%
23℃ 88%
21℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
20℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
21℃
$0 Vol.
7%
22℃
$0 Vol.
7%
23℃
$0 Vol.
88%
24℃
$0 Vol.
91%
25℃
$5 Vol.
45%
26℃
$79 Vol.
56%
27℃
$162 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$16 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover are the main drivers behind trader consensus favoring a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16.** Official forecasts from agencies and models show overnight lows around 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Above-normal recent minima (26–26.5°C) and elevated dew points near 76°F further support this range by suppressing temperature drops. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in cloud thickness, storm timing, or wind patterns could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and revised model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$367終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover are the main drivers behind trader consensus favoring a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16.** Official forecasts from agencies and models show overnight lows around 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Above-normal recent minima (26–26.5°C) and elevated dew points near 76°F further support this range by suppressing temperature drops. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in cloud thickness, storm timing, or wind patterns could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and revised model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$367終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover are the main drivers behind trader consensus favoring a minimum temperature near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16.** Official forecasts from agencies and models show overnight lows around 26–27°C (79–80°F) amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Above-normal recent minima (26–26.5°C) and elevated dew points near 76°F further support this range by suppressing temperature drops. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in cloud thickness, storm timing, or wind patterns could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening observations and revised model runs will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問