Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月20日のパリの最低気温は？
5月20日のパリの最低気温は？
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11℃ 18%
14℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/20
6°C以下
1%
7℃
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10℃
8%
11℃
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14℃
15%
15°C
5%
16°C以上
4%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11℃ 18%
14℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/05/20
6°C以下
$126 Vol.
1%
7℃
$160 Vol.
1%
8°C
$14 Vol.
5%
9°C
$30 Vol.
6%
10℃
$24 Vol.
8%
11℃
$25 Vol.
13%
12°C
$25 Vol.
23%
13°C
$14 Vol.
21%
14℃
$14 Vol.
15%
15°C
$14 Vol.
5%
16°C以上
$99 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$546終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$546終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate mild overnight conditions for Paris on May 20, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 11°C and 13°C amid light variable winds and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with mid-May climatological averages near 9–11°C while reflecting a modest warm anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable high pressure. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 12°C and 13°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest guidance before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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