Recent short-range forecast model runs indicate variable overnight conditions for Wellington on September 19, with trader-implied odds centered on a 7–9°C minimum reflecting the spread across ensembles. Key variables include wind direction and speed from shifting northerly to westerly flows, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling; cloud cover and any frontal precipitation timing that alters the diurnal temperature range; and surface pressure gradients typical of early spring in the region. Current observations show September lows averaging near 8–9°C, with recent nights dipping to 7°C or below amid unsettled patterns, while model divergence on exact wind gusts and clearing timing sustains the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like MetService or NIWA expected within 24 hours could narrow the range as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
9月19日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
7°C 40%
8℃ 40%
9℃ 30%
6°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
4℃以下
2%
5℃
11%
6°C
19%
7°C
40%
8℃
40%
9℃
30%
10℃
11%
11℃
7%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C以上
5%
7°C 40%
8℃ 40%
9℃ 30%
6°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
4℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
5℃
$0 Vol.
11%
6°C
$0 Vol.
19%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8℃
$0 Vol.
40%
9℃
$6 Vol.
30%
10℃
$0 Vol.
11%
11℃
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C以上
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs indicate variable overnight conditions for Wellington on September 19, with trader-implied odds centered on a 7–9°C minimum reflecting the spread across ensembles. Key variables include wind direction and speed from shifting northerly to westerly flows, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling; cloud cover and any frontal precipitation timing that alters the diurnal temperature range; and surface pressure gradients typical of early spring in the region. Current observations show September lows averaging near 8–9°C, with recent nights dipping to 7°C or below amid unsettled patterns, while model divergence on exact wind gusts and clearing timing sustains the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like MetService or NIWA expected within 24 hours could narrow the range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs indicate variable overnight conditions for Wellington on September 19, with trader-implied odds centered on a 7–9°C minimum reflecting the spread across ensembles. Key variables include wind direction and speed from shifting northerly to westerly flows, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling; cloud cover and any frontal precipitation timing that alters the diurnal temperature range; and surface pressure gradients typical of early spring in the region. Current observations show September lows averaging near 8–9°C, with recent nights dipping to 7°C or below amid unsettled patterns, while model divergence on exact wind gusts and clearing timing sustains the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like MetService or NIWA expected within 24 hours could narrow the range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent short-range forecast model runs indicate variable overnight conditions for Wellington on September 19, with trader-implied odds centered on a 7–9°C minimum reflecting the spread across ensembles. Key variables include wind direction and speed from shifting northerly to westerly flows, which can suppress or enhance radiative cooling; cloud cover and any frontal precipitation timing that alters the diurnal temperature range; and surface pressure gradients typical of early spring in the region. Current observations show September lows averaging near 8–9°C, with recent nights dipping to 7°C or below amid unsettled patterns, while model divergence on exact wind gusts and clearing timing sustains the broad probability distribution across outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like MetService or NIWA expected within 24 hours could narrow the range as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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