**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological platforms consistently project a daily minimum of 22–24°C for Wuhan on September 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk.** This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market probabilities, where 21°C holds 31% implied odds while extremes like ≤16°C or ≥26°C each command roughly one-third. Overnight radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 50%, preventing sharper drops, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps values above seasonal early-autumn baselines. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing against the stable high-pressure pattern, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日の武漢の最低気温は？
9月15日の武漢の最低気温は？
16℃以下 62%
26℃以上 62%
25°C 39%
21℃ 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
16℃以下
62%
17℃
17%
18℃
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
22%
21℃
32%
22℃
22%
23℃
22%
24℃
22%
25°C
39%
26℃以上
62%
16℃以下 62%
26℃以上 62%
25°C 39%
21℃ 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
16℃以下
$10 Vol.
62%
17℃
$10 Vol.
17%
18℃
$10 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21℃
$0 Vol.
32%
22℃
$0 Vol.
22%
23℃
$0 Vol.
22%
24℃
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$10 Vol.
39%
26℃以上
$10 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological platforms consistently project a daily minimum of 22–24°C for Wuhan on September 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk.**
This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market probabilities, where 21°C holds 31% implied odds while extremes like ≤16°C or ≥26°C each command roughly one-third. Overnight radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 50%, preventing sharper drops, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps values above seasonal early-autumn baselines. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing against the stable high-pressure pattern, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological platforms consistently project a daily minimum of 22–24°C for Wuhan on September 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk.**
This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market probabilities, where 21°C holds 31% implied odds while extremes like ≤16°C or ≥26°C each command roughly one-third. Overnight radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 50%, preventing sharper drops, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps values above seasonal early-autumn baselines. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing against the stable high-pressure pattern, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$50終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Chinese meteorological platforms consistently project a daily minimum of 22–24°C for Wuhan on September 15, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk.** This places the outcome near the middle of the closely matched market probabilities, where 21°C holds 31% implied odds while extremes like ≤16°C or ≥26°C each command roughly one-third. Overnight radiative cooling is moderated by cloud cover and humidity around 50%, preventing sharper drops, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps values above seasonal early-autumn baselines. Traders appear to weigh minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing against the stable high-pressure pattern, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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