Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a stable minimum around 22–25°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by southerly flow and high pressure before a cold front arrives. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the region, where overnight lows typically range 20–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Official observations from Chinese meteorological stations, reporting hourly data through the night, underpin the market's strong consensus at 20°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced radiational cooling or model error exceeding 2–3°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の鄭州の最低気温は?
20℃ 100.0%
15℃以下 1.0%
16℃ 1.0%
17℃ <1%
$2,706 Vol.
$2,706 Vol.
15℃以下
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
はい
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
20℃ 100.0%
15℃以下 1.0%
16℃ 1.0%
17℃ <1%
$2,706 Vol.
$2,706 Vol.
15℃以下
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
はい
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a stable minimum around 22–25°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by southerly flow and high pressure before a cold front arrives. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the region, where overnight lows typically range 20–25°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Official observations from Chinese meteorological stations, reporting hourly data through the night, underpin the market's strong consensus at 20°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced radiational cooling or model error exceeding 2–3°C, though current ensemble agreement makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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