Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Labour Party 5-10% 40%
Labour Party 10-15% 33%
Other 9%
Labour Party 15-20% 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/30
Labour Party 25%+
1%
Labour Party 20-25%
6%
Labour Party 15-20%
8%
Labour Party 10-15%
33%
Labour Party 5-10%
40%
Labour Party <5%
6%
Other
9%
Labour Party 5-10% 40%
Labour Party 10-15% 33%
Other 9%
Labour Party 15-20% 8%
新規
新規
2026/05/30
Labour Party 25%+
$99 Vol.
1%
Labour Party 20-25%
$211 Vol.
6%
Labour Party 15-20%
$50 Vol.
8%
Labour Party 10-15%
$107 Vol.
33%
Labour Party 5-10%
$207 Vol.
40%
Labour Party <5%
$60 Vol.
6%
Other
$60 Vol.
9%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
マーケット開始日： May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
音量
$794終了日
2026/05/30マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
音量
$794終了日
2026/05/30マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Prime Minister Robert Abela called a snap general election on April 27 amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, setting the vote for May 30 under Malta's proportional representation system where vote margins dictate House of Representatives seats and majority government formation. Recent polls, including Sagalytics (April 30-May 6) showing Labour at 53.1% to Nationalists' 42.6% (10.5-point lead, ~29,000 votes) and a PolitPro average of Labour +8.8%, reflect consistent incumbent advantage, yet trader consensus prices all Labour margin outcomes equally amid the compressed five-week campaign. Dynamics keeping the race tight include undecided voter turnout, historical polling volatility, and Nationalist challenges to Labour's governance record; leader debates, scandals, or turnout surges in battleground districts could widen separation before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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