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icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?

20-39 65%

40-59 30%

<20 2.1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$17,028 Vol.

20-39 65%

40-59 30%

<20 2.1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$17,028 Vol.

<20

$1,240 Vol.

2%

20-39

$5,159 Vol.

65%

40-59

$4,155 Vol.

30%

60-79

$2,474 Vol.

1%

80-99

$720 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$575 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$453 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$553 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$547 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$575 Vol.

<1%

200+

$575 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s @NYCMayor account maintains a high-volume posting cadence as the official channel for city announcements, policy updates, and constituent engagement. Historical patterns from the transition period showed roughly 10 posts per day on average, placing a typical seven-day span in the 20-59 range. The current week (August 14-21) opened with multiple August 13 releases on child care subsidies, Broadway ticket programs, and Dominican Heritage events, which historically trigger additional official posts and threaded updates. Traders price 20-39 posts at 65% because routine governance communications, weekend activity, and non-crisis weeks tend to cluster in that band, while 40-59 at 30% captures the upside from sustained daily output. Lower buckets remain thin because sustained daily rates above eight or below three posts have been rare since inauguration. No major breaking events or schedule disruptions have yet shifted the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$17,028
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s @NYCMayor account maintains a high-volume posting cadence as the official channel for city announcements, policy updates, and constituent engagement. Historical patterns from the transition period showed roughly 10 posts per day on average, placing a typical seven-day span in the 20-59 range. The current week (August 14-21) opened with multiple August 13 releases on child care subsidies, Broadway ticket programs, and Dominican Heritage events, which historically trigger additional official posts and threaded updates. Traders price 20-39 posts at 65% because routine governance communications, weekend activity, and non-crisis weeks tend to cluster in that band, while 40-59 at 30% captures the upside from sustained daily output. Lower buckets remain thin because sustained daily rates above eight or below three posts have been rare since inauguration. No major breaking events or schedule disruptions have yet shifted the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$17,028
終了日
2026/08/21
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20-39」で65%、次いで「40-59」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、65¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に65%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」は$17Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20-39」で65%であり、市場がこの結果に65%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「40-59」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月14日~ 8月21日は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。