Vladimir Putin's secure constitutional position, with his current term running through 2030 after the March 2024 election, underpins the 88.5% implied probability that he remains Russian president by year-end 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his entrenched power amid suppressed opposition and loyal security apparatus. No verified developments in the past month—such as health crises, elite defections, or coup signals—have emerged to challenge this; instead, Putin has maintained high-profile activities, including hosting Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on April 1 and chairing strategic development meetings. Ongoing Ukraine conflict strains resources but shows no immediate domestic backlash forcing resignation, though unconfirmed speculation on economic contraction and war fatigue circulates without altering the baseline stability. Late-breaking events like scandals or military setbacks could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
はい
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's secure constitutional position, with his current term running through 2030 after the March 2024 election, underpins the 88.5% implied probability that he remains Russian president by year-end 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his entrenched power amid suppressed opposition and loyal security apparatus. No verified developments in the past month—such as health crises, elite defections, or coup signals—have emerged to challenge this; instead, Putin has maintained high-profile activities, including hosting Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan on April 1 and chairing strategic development meetings. Ongoing Ukraine conflict strains resources but shows no immediate domestic backlash forcing resignation, though unconfirmed speculation on economic contraction and war fatigue circulates without altering the baseline stability. Late-breaking events like scandals or military setbacks could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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