Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 58%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$504,985 Vol.
$504,985 Vol.

PQ
58%

PLQ
29%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
PQ 58%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$504,985 Vol.
$504,985 Vol.

PQ
58%

PLQ
29%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent leadership transitions have reshaped Quebec's provincial contest ahead of the election due by October 5. Christine Fréchette's April selection as CAQ leader and premier followed François Legault's exit, yet polls show only modest recovery for the party. Charles Milliard's February ascension has helped the PLQ narrow the gap with the PQ in popular-vote surveys, producing near-ties in May polling from Léger and Liaison Strategies. The Parti Québécois maintains an edge in seat-projection models such as 338Canada because of stronger francophone support outside Montreal, a factor reflected in trader pricing that favors PQ seat plurality. Minor parties remain fragmented, with limited prospects for breakthroughs under current trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問