Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with strong francophone support positioning the party for a seat majority under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The CAQ's standing has stabilized somewhat following Christine Fréchette's selection as leader after François Legault's January resignation, yet remains in third place amid lingering effects from prior governing challenges. The PLQ holds second in vote share but trails in projected seats due to vote splitting with the CAQ among federalist voters. Smaller parties including QS and PCQ show limited traction. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these seat projection models, though a substantial share of voters report undecided intentions that could shift with late-campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,946 Vol.
$762,946 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$762,946 Vol.
$762,946 Vol.
2026/10/05
PQ
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,138 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$209,378 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with strong francophone support positioning the party for a seat majority under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The CAQ's standing has stabilized somewhat following Christine Fréchette's selection as leader after François Legault's January resignation, yet remains in third place amid lingering effects from prior governing challenges. The PLQ holds second in vote share but trails in projected seats due to vote splitting with the CAQ among federalist voters. Smaller parties including QS and PCQ show limited traction. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these seat projection models, though a substantial share of voters report undecided intentions that could shift with late-campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$762,946終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with strong francophone support positioning the party for a seat majority under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The CAQ's standing has stabilized somewhat following Christine Fréchette's selection as leader after François Legault's January resignation, yet remains in third place amid lingering effects from prior governing challenges. The PLQ holds second in vote share but trails in projected seats due to vote splitting with the CAQ among federalist voters. Smaller parties including QS and PCQ show limited traction. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these seat projection models, though a substantial share of voters report undecided intentions that could shift with late-campaign developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$762,946終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with strong francophone support positioning the party for a seat majority under Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The CAQ's standing has stabilized somewhat following Christine Fréchette's selection as leader after François Legault's January resignation, yet remains in third place amid lingering effects from prior governing challenges. The PLQ holds second in vote share but trails in projected seats due to vote splitting with the CAQ among federalist voters. Smaller parties including QS and PCQ show limited traction. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these seat projection models, though a substantial share of voters report undecided intentions that could shift with late-campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問