Recent polling shows fluctuating support among systemic opposition parties behind United Russia, with LDPR and New People trading leads in surveys from VCIOM and FOM due to differences in methodology and regional mobilization. LDPR benefits from established nationalist voter bases and experienced structures, while New People leverages its newer platform and recent gains in urban and younger demographics. KPRF trails amid weakening trends and competition for left-leaning votes. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including candidate selection and threshold management ahead of the September vote, reinforce trader focus on which party secures third place through turnout dynamics and administrative factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
ヤブロコ 1.7%
$62,147 Vol.
$62,147 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
41%

New People (NL)
34%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
ヤブロコ 1.7%
$62,147 Vol.
$62,147 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
41%

New People (NL)
34%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

ヤブロコ
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows fluctuating support among systemic opposition parties behind United Russia, with LDPR and New People trading leads in surveys from VCIOM and FOM due to differences in methodology and regional mobilization. LDPR benefits from established nationalist voter bases and experienced structures, while New People leverages its newer platform and recent gains in urban and younger demographics. KPRF trails amid weakening trends and competition for left-leaning votes. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including candidate selection and threshold management ahead of the September vote, reinforce trader focus on which party secures third place through turnout dynamics and administrative factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問