Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF while A Just Russia trails further back, creating a tight contest for fourth place in the proportional component of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential contender and narrowed the field among registered parties. Traders appear to weigh these shifts alongside historical patterns of seat allocation in Russia’s mixed electoral system, where single-mandate results and turnout in key regions can alter final rankings. Low odds for United Russia reflect its consistent first-place standing, while modest prices for smaller parties such as Rodina and Civic Platform underscore limited expectations for breakthroughs. Any late campaign developments or regional variations could still reorder the middle of the field before voting concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新しい人々（NL） 47%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 47%
市民プラットフォーム（GP） 19%
公正ロシア・真実のために（SRZP） 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
新しい人々（NL）
47%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
47%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
19%
公正ロシア・真実のために（SRZP）
18%
ロディナ
14%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
6%
統一ロシア（ER）
1%
新しい人々（NL） 47%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） 47%
市民プラットフォーム（GP） 19%
公正ロシア・真実のために（SRZP） 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
新しい人々（NL）
$0 Vol.
47%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$13 Vol.
47%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$28 Vol.
19%
公正ロシア・真実のために（SRZP）
$20 Vol.
18%
ロディナ
$43 Vol.
14%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$40 Vol.
6%
統一ロシア（ER）
$136 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF while A Just Russia trails further back, creating a tight contest for fourth place in the proportional component of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential contender and narrowed the field among registered parties. Traders appear to weigh these shifts alongside historical patterns of seat allocation in Russia’s mixed electoral system, where single-mandate results and turnout in key regions can alter final rankings. Low odds for United Russia reflect its consistent first-place standing, while modest prices for smaller parties such as Rodina and Civic Platform underscore limited expectations for breakthroughs. Any late campaign developments or regional variations could still reorder the middle of the field before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
音量
$279終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF while A Just Russia trails further back, creating a tight contest for fourth place in the proportional component of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential contender and narrowed the field among registered parties. Traders appear to weigh these shifts alongside historical patterns of seat allocation in Russia’s mixed electoral system, where single-mandate results and turnout in key regions can alter final rankings. Low odds for United Russia reflect its consistent first-place standing, while modest prices for smaller parties such as Rodina and Civic Platform underscore limited expectations for breakthroughs. Any late campaign developments or regional variations could still reorder the middle of the field before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$279終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows New People gaining ground on LDPR and KPRF while A Just Russia trails further back, creating a tight contest for fourth place in the proportional component of the September 18–20 State Duma vote. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential contender and narrowed the field among registered parties. Traders appear to weigh these shifts alongside historical patterns of seat allocation in Russia’s mixed electoral system, where single-mandate results and turnout in key regions can alter final rankings. Low odds for United Russia reflect its consistent first-place standing, while modest prices for smaller parties such as Rodina and Civic Platform underscore limited expectations for breakthroughs. Any late campaign developments or regional variations could still reorder the middle of the field before voting concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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