Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates continue to press for a humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, following recent RSF drone strikes on infrastructure in Khartoum and other cities in early May 2026 that drew international condemnation. These efforts build on the April 2026 Berlin donor conference, where pledges for aid coincided with renewed calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities amid ongoing territorial stalemates in Khartoum, Darfur, and the Kordofans. External backing for both factions has prolonged fighting into its fourth year, with stalled mediation reflecting deep divisions over security arrangements and governance. Upcoming high-level engagements could influence prospects for any short-term agreement, though persistent battlefield advances and external supply lines limit immediate breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$92,665 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
13%
2026年12月31日
17%
$92,665 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$33,226 Vol.
13%
2026年12月31日
$291 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates continue to press for a humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, following recent RSF drone strikes on infrastructure in Khartoum and other cities in early May 2026 that drew international condemnation. These efforts build on the April 2026 Berlin donor conference, where pledges for aid coincided with renewed calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities amid ongoing territorial stalemates in Khartoum, Darfur, and the Kordofans. External backing for both factions has prolonged fighting into its fourth year, with stalled mediation reflecting deep divisions over security arrangements and governance. Upcoming high-level engagements could influence prospects for any short-term agreement, though persistent battlefield advances and external supply lines limit immediate breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
音量
$92,665終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates continue to press for a humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, following recent RSF drone strikes on infrastructure in Khartoum and other cities in early May 2026 that drew international condemnation. These efforts build on the April 2026 Berlin donor conference, where pledges for aid coincided with renewed calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities amid ongoing territorial stalemates in Khartoum, Darfur, and the Kordofans. External backing for both factions has prolonged fighting into its fourth year, with stalled mediation reflecting deep divisions over security arrangements and governance. Upcoming high-level engagements could influence prospects for any short-term agreement, though persistent battlefield advances and external supply lines limit immediate breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
音量
$92,665終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates continue to press for a humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, following recent RSF drone strikes on infrastructure in Khartoum and other cities in early May 2026 that drew international condemnation. These efforts build on the April 2026 Berlin donor conference, where pledges for aid coincided with renewed calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities amid ongoing territorial stalemates in Khartoum, Darfur, and the Kordofans. External backing for both factions has prolonged fighting into its fourth year, with stalled mediation reflecting deep divisions over security arrangements and governance. Upcoming high-level engagements could influence prospects for any short-term agreement, though persistent battlefield advances and external supply lines limit immediate breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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