Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border, rooted in longstanding territorial disputes including areas near Preah Vihear, have driven recent military exchanges and diplomatic interventions. A July 2025 armed confrontation led to Thai airstrikes and a short-lived ceasefire, followed by renewed clashes in December 2025 that prompted further Thai air operations against Cambodian positions before a joint ceasefire statement on December 27. Early 2026 saw isolated mortar incidents near Ubon Ratchathani, with both sides attributing them to accidents amid ongoing truce monitoring. ASEAN, the United States, and Malaysia have urged de-escalation through talks, while regional concerns over potential escalation influence assessments of future strikes. Scheduled diplomatic meetings and border security measures remain key factors that could shape developments in the coming weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,402 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
5%
$69,402 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$24,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border, rooted in longstanding territorial disputes including areas near Preah Vihear, have driven recent military exchanges and diplomatic interventions. A July 2025 armed confrontation led to Thai airstrikes and a short-lived ceasefire, followed by renewed clashes in December 2025 that prompted further Thai air operations against Cambodian positions before a joint ceasefire statement on December 27. Early 2026 saw isolated mortar incidents near Ubon Ratchathani, with both sides attributing them to accidents amid ongoing truce monitoring. ASEAN, the United States, and Malaysia have urged de-escalation through talks, while regional concerns over potential escalation influence assessments of future strikes. Scheduled diplomatic meetings and border security measures remain key factors that could shape developments in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
マーケット開始日： Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$69,402終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border, rooted in longstanding territorial disputes including areas near Preah Vihear, have driven recent military exchanges and diplomatic interventions. A July 2025 armed confrontation led to Thai airstrikes and a short-lived ceasefire, followed by renewed clashes in December 2025 that prompted further Thai air operations against Cambodian positions before a joint ceasefire statement on December 27. Early 2026 saw isolated mortar incidents near Ubon Ratchathani, with both sides attributing them to accidents amid ongoing truce monitoring. ASEAN, the United States, and Malaysia have urged de-escalation through talks, while regional concerns over potential escalation influence assessments of future strikes. Scheduled diplomatic meetings and border security measures remain key factors that could shape developments in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
音量
$69,402終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border, rooted in longstanding territorial disputes including areas near Preah Vihear, have driven recent military exchanges and diplomatic interventions. A July 2025 armed confrontation led to Thai airstrikes and a short-lived ceasefire, followed by renewed clashes in December 2025 that prompted further Thai air operations against Cambodian positions before a joint ceasefire statement on December 27. Early 2026 saw isolated mortar incidents near Ubon Ratchathani, with both sides attributing them to accidents amid ongoing truce monitoring. ASEAN, the United States, and Malaysia have urged de-escalation through talks, while regional concerns over potential escalation influence assessments of future strikes. Scheduled diplomatic meetings and border security measures remain key factors that could shape developments in the coming weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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