Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures from sources such as the New York Times tracker, Economist/YouGov, and RealClearPolitics clustering near 36-39 percent amid ongoing second-term trends. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the subsequent cycle of escalation have coincided with modest declines in net approval to around -20 to -27, while economic concerns including inflation and cost-of-living pressures continue to shape voter assessments. With the August 14 measurement imminent, traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0-38.4 range, reflecting the stability of recent surveys and limited new catalysts in the immediate window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0～38.4 51%
37.5〜37.9 26%
38.5～38.9 16%
37.0～37.4 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
37.0未満
1%
37.0～37.4
9%
37.5〜37.9
26%
38.0～38.4
51%
38.5～38.9
16%
39.0以上
3%
38.0～38.4 51%
37.5〜37.9 26%
38.5～38.9 16%
37.0～37.4 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
37.0未満
$602 Vol.
1%
37.0～37.4
$430 Vol.
9%
37.5〜37.9
$630 Vol.
26%
38.0～38.4
$714 Vol.
51%
38.5～38.9
$954 Vol.
16%
39.0以上
$780 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures from sources such as the New York Times tracker, Economist/YouGov, and RealClearPolitics clustering near 36-39 percent amid ongoing second-term trends. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the subsequent cycle of escalation have coincided with modest declines in net approval to around -20 to -27, while economic concerns including inflation and cost-of-living pressures continue to shape voter assessments. With the August 14 measurement imminent, traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0-38.4 range, reflecting the stability of recent surveys and limited new catalysts in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$4,110終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures from sources such as the New York Times tracker, Economist/YouGov, and RealClearPolitics clustering near 36-39 percent amid ongoing second-term trends. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the subsequent cycle of escalation have coincided with modest declines in net approval to around -20 to -27, while economic concerns including inflation and cost-of-living pressures continue to shape voter assessments. With the August 14 measurement imminent, traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0-38.4 range, reflecting the stability of recent surveys and limited new catalysts in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$4,110終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures from sources such as the New York Times tracker, Economist/YouGov, and RealClearPolitics clustering near 36-39 percent amid ongoing second-term trends. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the subsequent cycle of escalation have coincided with modest declines in net approval to around -20 to -27, while economic concerns including inflation and cost-of-living pressures continue to shape voter assessments. With the August 14 measurement imminent, traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0-38.4 range, reflecting the stability of recent surveys and limited new catalysts in the immediate window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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