The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including January 2026 executive orders that blocked Venezuelan oil shipments and imposed tariffs on third-country suppliers to Cuba, remains the central driver shaping prospects for an economic agreement. Senior U.S. officials conducted direct talks in Havana in April, urging market-oriented reforms, greater foreign investment in energy and ports, and limited sanctions relief in exchange for political and economic changes. Cuba has responded by outlining a roadmap for cooperation on trade, investment, and security while confirming high-level negotiations continue. Fresh sanctions targeting Cuban energy, defense, and mining sectors in early May have maintained leverage even as both sides explore a framework that could ease restrictions without resolving deeper bilateral disputes. These developments create a narrow window for a deal before further escalation or humanitarian deterioration alters the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$240,818 Vol.
2026/06/30
6月30日
33%
$240,818 Vol.
6月30日
$104,820 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including January 2026 executive orders that blocked Venezuelan oil shipments and imposed tariffs on third-country suppliers to Cuba, remains the central driver shaping prospects for an economic agreement. Senior U.S. officials conducted direct talks in Havana in April, urging market-oriented reforms, greater foreign investment in energy and ports, and limited sanctions relief in exchange for political and economic changes. Cuba has responded by outlining a roadmap for cooperation on trade, investment, and security while confirming high-level negotiations continue. Fresh sanctions targeting Cuban energy, defense, and mining sectors in early May have maintained leverage even as both sides explore a framework that could ease restrictions without resolving deeper bilateral disputes. These developments create a narrow window for a deal before further escalation or humanitarian deterioration alters the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
音量
$240,818終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including January 2026 executive orders that blocked Venezuelan oil shipments and imposed tariffs on third-country suppliers to Cuba, remains the central driver shaping prospects for an economic agreement. Senior U.S. officials conducted direct talks in Havana in April, urging market-oriented reforms, greater foreign investment in energy and ports, and limited sanctions relief in exchange for political and economic changes. Cuba has responded by outlining a roadmap for cooperation on trade, investment, and security while confirming high-level negotiations continue. Fresh sanctions targeting Cuban energy, defense, and mining sectors in early May have maintained leverage even as both sides explore a framework that could ease restrictions without resolving deeper bilateral disputes. These developments create a narrow window for a deal before further escalation or humanitarian deterioration alters the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$240,818終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign, including January 2026 executive orders that blocked Venezuelan oil shipments and imposed tariffs on third-country suppliers to Cuba, remains the central driver shaping prospects for an economic agreement. Senior U.S. officials conducted direct talks in Havana in April, urging market-oriented reforms, greater foreign investment in energy and ports, and limited sanctions relief in exchange for political and economic changes. Cuba has responded by outlining a roadmap for cooperation on trade, investment, and security while confirming high-level negotiations continue. Fresh sanctions targeting Cuban energy, defense, and mining sectors in early May have maintained leverage even as both sides explore a framework that could ease restrictions without resolving deeper bilateral disputes. These developments create a narrow window for a deal before further escalation or humanitarian deterioration alters the trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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