The U.S. Constitution assigns primary authority over election administration to the states under Article I, Section 4, with Congress holding limited power to regulate the "times, places, and manner" of federal elections and the president possessing no independent authority to override state systems. President Trump's February 2026 public calls for Republicans to "nationalize the voting" in select states, followed by March 2026 executive orders directing federal agencies to compile voter eligibility lists and restrict mail ballots, prompted multistate lawsuits and court injunctions that blocked key provisions on constitutional grounds. Multiple federal rulings have upheld state control, while states have enacted protective measures ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These legal and structural barriers, combined with ongoing state resistance and the absence of successful federal takeover, underpin traders' strong consensus against nationalization occurring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
11% 確率
$19,021 Vol.
$19,021 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
11% 確率
$19,021 Vol.
$19,021 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. Constitution assigns primary authority over election administration to the states under Article I, Section 4, with Congress holding limited power to regulate the "times, places, and manner" of federal elections and the president possessing no independent authority to override state systems. President Trump's February 2026 public calls for Republicans to "nationalize the voting" in select states, followed by March 2026 executive orders directing federal agencies to compile voter eligibility lists and restrict mail ballots, prompted multistate lawsuits and court injunctions that blocked key provisions on constitutional grounds. Multiple federal rulings have upheld state control, while states have enacted protective measures ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These legal and structural barriers, combined with ongoing state resistance and the absence of successful federal takeover, underpin traders' strong consensus against nationalization occurring.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$19,021終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. Constitution assigns primary authority over election administration to the states under Article I, Section 4, with Congress holding limited power to regulate the "times, places, and manner" of federal elections and the president possessing no independent authority to override state systems. President Trump's February 2026 public calls for Republicans to "nationalize the voting" in select states, followed by March 2026 executive orders directing federal agencies to compile voter eligibility lists and restrict mail ballots, prompted multistate lawsuits and court injunctions that blocked key provisions on constitutional grounds. Multiple federal rulings have upheld state control, while states have enacted protective measures ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These legal and structural barriers, combined with ongoing state resistance and the absence of successful federal takeover, underpin traders' strong consensus against nationalization occurring.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$19,021終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Constitution assigns primary authority over election administration to the states under Article I, Section 4, with Congress holding limited power to regulate the "times, places, and manner" of federal elections and the president possessing no independent authority to override state systems. President Trump's February 2026 public calls for Republicans to "nationalize the voting" in select states, followed by March 2026 executive orders directing federal agencies to compile voter eligibility lists and restrict mail ballots, prompted multistate lawsuits and court injunctions that blocked key provisions on constitutional grounds. Multiple federal rulings have upheld state control, while states have enacted protective measures ahead of the November 2026 midterms. These legal and structural barriers, combined with ongoing state resistance and the absence of successful federal takeover, underpin traders' strong consensus against nationalization occurring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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