Recent polling has kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with ACM Neto of União Brasil edging incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 47.8 percent to 38.7 percent. Neto’s stronger showing draws from his established name recognition as former Salvador mayor and opposition gains in the 2024 municipal elections, while Rodrigues benefits from the PT’s organizational infrastructure and long state-level dominance since 2007. Technical ties in prior Quaest data and fluctuating voter intentions underscore the race’s sensitivity to turnout dynamics and national alignments, including Lula’s influence on the Workers’ Party base. Traders’ pricing reflects this volatility, with separation likely to emerge from intensified campaigning, candidate alliances, or shifts in approval ratings over the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 38%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 거래량
$13,978 거래량
2026.10.04
ACM Neto
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
38%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 38%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$13,978 거래량
$13,978 거래량
2026.10.04
ACM Neto
$3,766 거래량
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,844 거래량
38%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 거래량
<1%
João Roma
$966 거래량
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 거래량
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 거래량
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 거래량
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with ACM Neto of União Brasil edging incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 47.8 percent to 38.7 percent. Neto’s stronger showing draws from his established name recognition as former Salvador mayor and opposition gains in the 2024 municipal elections, while Rodrigues benefits from the PT’s organizational infrastructure and long state-level dominance since 2007. Technical ties in prior Quaest data and fluctuating voter intentions underscore the race’s sensitivity to turnout dynamics and national alignments, including Lula’s influence on the Workers’ Party base. Traders’ pricing reflects this volatility, with separation likely to emerge from intensified campaigning, candidate alliances, or shifts in approval ratings over the coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
거래량
$13,978종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with ACM Neto of União Brasil edging incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 47.8 percent to 38.7 percent. Neto’s stronger showing draws from his established name recognition as former Salvador mayor and opposition gains in the 2024 municipal elections, while Rodrigues benefits from the PT’s organizational infrastructure and long state-level dominance since 2007. Technical ties in prior Quaest data and fluctuating voter intentions underscore the race’s sensitivity to turnout dynamics and national alignments, including Lula’s influence on the Workers’ Party base. Traders’ pricing reflects this volatility, with separation likely to emerge from intensified campaigning, candidate alliances, or shifts in approval ratings over the coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$13,978종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has kept the Bahia gubernatorial contest closely contested ahead of the October 2026 first round, with ACM Neto of União Brasil edging incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 47.8 percent to 38.7 percent. Neto’s stronger showing draws from his established name recognition as former Salvador mayor and opposition gains in the 2024 municipal elections, while Rodrigues benefits from the PT’s organizational infrastructure and long state-level dominance since 2007. Technical ties in prior Quaest data and fluctuating voter intentions underscore the race’s sensitivity to turnout dynamics and national alignments, including Lula’s influence on the Workers’ Party base. Traders’ pricing reflects this volatility, with separation likely to emerge from intensified campaigning, candidate alliances, or shifts in approval ratings over the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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