Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because Jair Bolsonaro remains ineligible to run, leaving his son as the primary right-wing candidate backed by the Liberal Party and consolidating support from evangelical voters and former Bolsonaro loyalists. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show the race between incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio as statistically tied in runoff simulations and close in first-round projections, with Lula typically ahead but Flávio securing the next-highest share ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. A late-May revelation linking Flávio to a banking scandal introduced short-term uncertainty, yet current market pricing reflects the view that right-wing fragmentation remains limited while Lula’s coalition holds a narrow first-round edge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트플라비우 볼소나루 61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 15%
레난 산투스 6.3%
로메우 제마 6.2%
$3,522,234 거래량
$3,522,234 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
15%
레난 산투스
6%
로메우 제마
6%
미셸 볼소나루
4%
페르난두 아다지
3%
카밀루 산타나
2%
테레자 크리스티나
1%
호날두 카이아두
1%
헤랄두 알크민
1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
엘더르 바르발류
<1%
자이르 보우소나루
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
<1%
플라비우 볼소나루 61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 15%
레난 산투스 6.3%
로메우 제마 6.2%
$3,522,234 거래량
$3,522,234 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
$56,378 거래량
61%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$67,153 거래량
15%
레난 산투스
$994,929 거래량
6%
로메우 제마
$256,353 거래량
6%
미셸 볼소나루
$72,825 거래량
4%
페르난두 아다지
$651,213 거래량
3%
카밀루 산타나
$56,008 거래량
2%
테레자 크리스티나
$2,848 거래량
1%
호날두 카이아두
$289,157 거래량
1%
헤랄두 알크민
$123,364 거래량
1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
$111,040 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$642,631 거래량
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$29,825 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$48,401 거래량
<1%
엘더르 바르발류
$2,246 거래량
<1%
자이르 보우소나루
$77,363 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
$40,500 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because Jair Bolsonaro remains ineligible to run, leaving his son as the primary right-wing candidate backed by the Liberal Party and consolidating support from evangelical voters and former Bolsonaro loyalists. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show the race between incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio as statistically tied in runoff simulations and close in first-round projections, with Lula typically ahead but Flávio securing the next-highest share ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. A late-May revelation linking Flávio to a banking scandal introduced short-term uncertainty, yet current market pricing reflects the view that right-wing fragmentation remains limited while Lula’s coalition holds a narrow first-round edge.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$3,522,234종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because Jair Bolsonaro remains ineligible to run, leaving his son as the primary right-wing candidate backed by the Liberal Party and consolidating support from evangelical voters and former Bolsonaro loyalists. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show the race between incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio as statistically tied in runoff simulations and close in first-round projections, with Lula typically ahead but Flávio securing the next-highest share ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. A late-May revelation linking Flávio to a banking scandal introduced short-term uncertainty, yet current market pricing reflects the view that right-wing fragmentation remains limited while Lula’s coalition holds a narrow first-round edge.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$3,522,234종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round because Jair Bolsonaro remains ineligible to run, leaving his son as the primary right-wing candidate backed by the Liberal Party and consolidating support from evangelical voters and former Bolsonaro loyalists. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show the race between incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio as statistically tied in runoff simulations and close in first-round projections, with Lula typically ahead but Flávio securing the next-highest share ahead of lower-polling contenders such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. A late-May revelation linking Flávio to a banking scandal introduced short-term uncertainty, yet current market pricing reflects the view that right-wing fragmentation remains limited while Lula’s coalition holds a narrow first-round edge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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